UK Advisory Group Warns of Risk of 2nd COVID-19 Wave Weeks After Johnson Rejects New Shutdown

In July, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson compared the option of another shutdown in the country to a “nuclear deterrent”, but stressed that he does not think the UK “will be in that position again”.

The UK government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) has suggested that a second national lockdown could be imposed in Britain given that the country’s reproduction (R) number is currently between 0.9 and 1.1.

The R rate pertains to the number of people that a single infected person will go on to infect. An R rate above one means that each person will pass the coronavirus to more than one individual, prompting the epidemic to increase significantly.

The Telegraph, in turn, cited a unnamed senior government source as saying that if the current R rate is not contained, “it may be that some things that have been open, you need to think about whether measures need to be taken to reverse things”.

The source explained that the strategy should focus on dealing with the problem “through local outbreak management” and that much “depends on the trajectory, and how quickly we can get on top of outbreaks”.

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